NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Bets: James Conner, A.J. Brown and more

• James Conner has been a dominating force for the Cardinals this season. Among players with 100 carries, the seventh-year back ranks third in rushing yards over expected (RYOE) and fourth in expected points added (EPA) per rush.

• As a result, the Cardinals have fed Conner the ball often, especially in the red zone, where he has gotten close to 90% of the available RB opportunities.

• Conner has quite the matchup with a Seattle Seahawks defense that ranks bottom-three in virtually every efficiency metric when it comes to stopping the run. Given this game’s implied point total, look for the Cardinals to continue to feed Conner in this terrific matchup.

WR A.J. BROWN, PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

• Little needs to be said to illustrate how extraordinary Brown is as a receiver. Yes, Brown hasn’t scored a touchdown since the Eagles’ Week 12 tilt vs. the Bills, but that is not because of a lack of opportunity.

• Of course, Brown is a threat to score from anywhere on the field, but he has earned red-zone targets at the second-highest rate at his position — when Brown runs a route inside the red zone, he’s been targeted a remarkable 36% of the time.

• Brown has the third-best matchup on the board, according to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Tool, so he is in a terrific spot to bounce back and find the end zone with depressed pricing from his fluky scoring drought.

WR JUSTIN JEFFERSON, MINNESOTA VIKINGS

• There are few receivers as dominant as Justin Jefferson, who excels in virtually every aspect of the game.

• Jefferson will go up against a man-coverage-heavy Lions defense that simply does not have the personnel to guard Justin Jefferson. The Lions’ outside cornerbacks have PFF coverage grades in the 50s and 60s — not encouraging for their prospects against the all-world wide receiver, to say the least.

• Jefferson has seen close to 30% of the targets with Nick Mullens at quarterback, so look for the Vikings to feed him in this must-win matchup.

• RB James Conner, Arizona Cardinals: The Cardinals have fed Conner the ball often, especially in the red zone, where he has gotten close to 90% of the available RB opportunities.

• WR A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles: Brown has the third-best matchup on the board, according to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Tool, so he is in a terrific spot to bounce back and find the end zone with depressed pricing from his fluky scoring drought.

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